Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.086520 0.096278 0.106183 0.116962 0.128333 0.139947 0.152679
2025-08-03 0.070671 0.085363 0.100924 0.118508 0.137703 0.157912 0.180687
2025-08-10 0.060154 0.077918 0.097409 0.120090 0.145487 0.172808 0.204190
2025-08-17 0.051528 0.071246 0.093583 0.120246 0.150741 0.184124 0.223042
2025-08-24 0.042600 0.063152 0.087221 0.116687 0.151081 0.189347 0.234568
2025-08-31 0.035633 0.056654 0.082080 0.113954 0.151846 0.194611 0.245740
2025-09-07 0.031416 0.053137 0.080153 0.114689 0.156357 0.203912 0.261282
2025-09-14 0.028329 0.050761 0.079378 0.116596 0.162069 0.214461 0.278139
2025-09-21 0.026692 0.050150 0.080696 0.120958 0.170632 0.228272 0.298721
2025-09-28 0.024026 0.047854 0.079653 0.122232 0.175351 0.237490 0.313913
2025-10-05 0.024446 0.049968 0.084395 0.130805 0.188975 0.257252 0.341440
2025-10-12 0.021468 0.046838 0.081981 0.130131 0.191159 0.263359 0.352923
2025-10-19 0.020264 0.046442 0.083421 0.134680 0.200161 0.278058 0.375092
2025-10-26 0.017854 0.043977 0.081925 0.135386 0.204415 0.287145 0.390775
2025-11-02 0.015948 0.042114 0.081138 0.136928 0.209657 0.297393 0.407826
2025-11-09 0.013860 0.039697 0.079393 0.137069 0.213031 0.305305 0.422045
2025-11-16 0.011027 0.035563 0.074869 0.133231 0.211142 0.306639 0.428250
2025-11-23 0.008785 0.032129 0.071138 0.130283 0.210247 0.309078 0.435686
2025-11-30 0.007591 0.030565 0.070158 0.131076 0.214159 0.317422 0.450239
2025-12-07 0.006763 0.029636 0.070106 0.133131 0.219696 0.327775 0.467231
2025-12-14 0.006478 0.029875 0.071911 0.137831 0.228734 0.342517 0.489597
2025-12-21 0.005658 0.028749 0.071429 0.139202 0.233328 0.351676 0.505140
2025-12-28 0.006164 0.030868 0.076341 0.148419 0.248422 0.374079 0.536947